LatinaLista — When it comes to the March 4 primary in Texas, there’s really only one race going on.
While television advertisements are juggling self-endorsements from both Clinton and Obama, one is hard-pressed to find a Republican ad running on TV. If they are, it must be late at night with the infomercials.
The fact is a Texas news station is reporting that McCain’s camp doesn’t feel the need to campaign in Texas since they feel the race has already been decided in their favor.
Yet in a new Texas poll McCain and Huckabee are in a dead heat for Texas votes and as far as who will win the Democratic nomination in Texas?
Let’s just say Clinton and Obama commercials will be running until the polls close.
The poll, commissioned by the Texas Credit Union League, revealed that Clinton is ahead of Obama â€” but only by 8 points.
With such a tight race, a casual observer would question Clinton’s strategy of concentrating her early campaigning in south Texas from El Paso to Laredo.
While it’s true that South Texas can practically be called “Clinton Country,” it’s also true that they don’t hold the bulk of votes that she needs to pull ahead of Obama.
It’s reported that the Hispanic vote comprises 35-40% of the Texas Democratic primary vote and will be a significant element in the final outcome, but there’s a little secret that the Clinton campaign may not know â€” not all of the state’s Latinos live along the border.
Latinos are dispersed throughout the state and especially in the cities where there is a higher concentration of eligible Latino voters.
According to JosÃ© Angel GutiÃ©rrez, an attorney and political science professor at the University of Texas at Arlington, in an interview with the Rio Grande Guardian:
South Texas’ predominantly Hispanic population is favorable for Clinton, GutiÃ©rrez said, but he warned the senatorâ€™s campaign not to overestimate the importance of the Valley.
â€œThat’s an old political stereotype, that the votes of the Mexicanos are in the Valley and all along the border area,â€ said GutiÃ©rrez. â€œThey keep saying they are going to keep working the Valley. There are only about three delegates coming out of the Valley. There are more delegates in West Texas than in the Valley, and Houston and Dallas outnumbers the Valley by three times at least.â€
Obama is highly favored in the Houston, Dallas and Austin areas, which are part of Senate districts that have a substantial amount of delegates at stake.
In the end, GutiÃ©rrez doesn’t feel Texas will make or break either candidate but just be one more stop in one of the most historic elections of our times.