LatinaLista — Speculation on which group could be the swing vote in the Nevada caucus, and the overall presidential election, has centered on three groups: females, young people and coming in at a distant third, Latinos.
Given past rhetoric as to the strength of the Latino vote, a lot of people didn’t dismiss Latinos entirely but felt females and young people had stronger potential to deliver the vote to either candidate.
Nevada was said to be the test for the strength of the Latino vote in this upcoming election, and Latinos didn’t disappoint.
When news broke that the Obama campaign had gotten the Culinary Worker’s Union endorsement, it appeared that Obama would easily win the Latino vote given the number of Latinos who are members of the Union.
But Latinos, though loyal, are also individual thinkers and it appears that most of them responded to Clinton’s hard campaigning and counter claims against the Union’s alleged strong-arm tactics to deliver a vote to Obama.
From the CNN entrance poll data, we immediately see that Clinton got 51% of the overall female vote while Obama received 38%.
However, among non-white women, Obama was the winner with 51% of the vote versus Clinton’s 43%.
That’s only an 8 point difference as opposed to what the point difference is between the two candidates when it comes to the overall Latino vote.
In that respect, Obama received 26% of the Latino vote and Clinton scored 64% of it — that’s a 38-point difference.
It’s a higher return than even the youth vote (18-29) where the point difference between the two candidates stands at 26 points.
For the first time, we can see that the Latino vote is a viable factor in the outcome of who wins this Presidential election.
It would stand to reason the proverbial Sleeping Giant has awakened!