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Education report analyzing swing state voters reveals GOP may have bigger problems on the horizon

LatinaLista — The bigger question of the 2012 election is not: Who will win but how will voters in swing states vote?

Though nobody has the answer yet, a new report released by the College Board gives pretty good insight into how swing voters feel about one particular issue — education.

The College Board Swing State Education Survey is compiled from about 200 interviews with voters in nine so-called swing states. When asked about education, those surveyed ranked education about the same as government spending and behind jobs and the economy.

While GOP presidential candidate, Rick Santorum, feels expecting someone to attain a college education is “snobbery,” “three in four voters believe that a post-secondary degree is important to achieving success in the workplace.”

In fact, these swing state voters feel that a candidate’s views on education tell a lot about the man:

Candidates who place a priority on education are viewed through a positive lens. They are seen as “forward looking,” “caring about ensuring opportunities for all,” “in touch with the concerns of the average family,” and “understanding what it takes to compete in today’s global economy.”

Swing state voters, especially women, place such a high emphasis on education that the majority are willing to pay up to $200 more in taxes if it means funding education. The survey reveals that these voters believe so strongly that education must be a top issue for the country that they rank it behind only “reducing dependence on foreign oil” as a priority in getting the country back on track.

Clearly swing state voters, who are not the usual base for the GOP, must be delivered a different message if any GOP candidate wants to win the White House. Unfortunately for the GOP, there is one other (surprising) issue that just might prove to be the breaking point of whether or not any GOP candidate can win swing state voters to their side — the DREAM Act.

Cutting across ethnic lines, 65 percent of the swing state voters want children of undocumented immigrants to be allowed legal residency if they complete college or enlist in the military. An option that Republicans have refused to put on the table so far, but as reality sets in — that the DREAM Act is supported by both the Latino electorate and swing state voters — they will be forced to make the hardest decision of their party if they really want the White House.


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  • toto
    April 6, 2012 at 1:11 pm

    Voters in the handful of swing states shouldn’t continue to determine the Presidency.
    Presidential elections don’t have to be this way.
    The National Popular Vote bill would guarantee the Presidency to the candidate who receives the most popular votes in all 50 states (and DC).
    Every vote, everywhere, would be politically relevant and equal in presidential elections. No more distorting and divisive red and blue state maps. There would no longer be a handful of ‘battleground’ states where voters and policies are more important than those of the voters in more than 3/4ths of the states that now are just ‘spectators’ and ignored after the primaries.
    When the bill is enacted by states possessing a majority of the electoral votes– enough electoral votes to elect a President (270 of 538), all the electoral votes from the enacting states would be awarded to the presidential candidate who receives the most popular votes in all 50 states and DC.
    The bill uses the power given to each state by the Founding Fathers in the Constitution to change how they award their electoral votes for President. Historically, virtually all of the major changes in the method of electing the President, including ending the requirement that only men who owned substantial property could vote and 48 current state-by-state winner-take-all laws, have come about by state legislative action.
    In Gallup polls since 1944, only about 20% of the public has supported the current system of awarding all of a state’s electoral votes to the presidential candidate who receives the most votes in each separate state (with about 70% opposed and about 10% undecided). Support for a national popular vote is strong among Republicans, Democrats, and Independent voters, as well as every demographic group in virtually every state surveyed in recent polls in closely divided Battleground states: CO – 68%, FL – 78%, IA 75%, MI – 73%, MO – 70%, NH – 69%, NV – 72%, NM– 76%, NC – 74%, OH – 70%, PA – 78%, VA – 74%, and WI – 71%; in Small states (3 to 5 electoral votes): AK – 70%, DC – 76%, DE – 75%, ID – 77%, ME – 77%, MT – 72%, NE 74%, NH – 69%, NV – 72%, NM – 76%, OK – 81%, RI – 74%, SD – 71%, UT – 70%, VT – 75%, WV – 81%, and WY – 69%; in Southern and Border states: AR – 80%,, KY- 80%, MS – 77%, MO – 70%, NC – 74%, OK – 81%, SC – 71%, TN – 83%, VA – 74%, and WV – 81%; and in other states polled: CA – 70%, CT – 74%, MA – 73%, MN – 75%, NY – 79%, OR – 76%, and WA – 77%. Americans believe that the candidate who receives the most votes should win.
    The bill has passed 31 state legislative chambers in 21 small, medium-small, medium, and large states. The bill has been enacted by 9 jurisdictions possessing 132 electoral votes – 49% of the 270 necessary to bring the law into effect.
    Follow National Popular Vote on Facebook via nationalpopularvoteinc

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